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Yes it is very hard to gauge the situation.
I do get slightly frustrated by the “it won’t be too bad for most of us” attitude though (nothing personal @osbad). Both my daughters had pneumonia over Christmas and were in hospital for several days each. Pneumonia causes on-going breathing problems for a few years at their age. Does that put them in the “have existing health problems” category that are at high risk from Coronavirus? We don’t know but have to assume it does. At that point if my partner or I catch it there is a good chance we pass it on to them. I’ve been in hospital four times in the past three months watching them suffer with pneumonia and struggle to get enough oxygen to keep going. It is not a pleasant experience. I realised that breathing problems are far more dangerous than I’d ever considered. Stop getting enough oxygen and you loose consciousness and then you need oxygen in hospital to recover.
On the opposite side I go to work where I’m a senior manager in a small manufacturing company. We can’t afford to loose more than a couple of staff at once due to illness – especially not for two week isolation periods. And if one of us falls ill, everyone in the company should really then self isolate as we’re in close proximity all day. Only about 1/3 of our staff could work from home. If the company goes into lock down we run a very real risk of going bust.