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@danlee Initially they were talking about a 1 in 20 death rate of those infected and I assumed that given how contagious it appeared to be that at some point everyone would catch it.
So 70 million-ish divided by 20 is 3.5 million
Then I factor in the unreliability of government statistics, allowed an estimate of 3.5 to 7 million deaths in the Uk population and averaged it out at around 5 million.
In other words I guessed based on the early reports in the media, but they love to scare monger.
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